AAWE, Economics Dept, New York University, 19 W 4th St, 6Fl., New York NY 10012aawe@wine-economics.org

AAWE Working Paper No. 202 – Economics

Macroeconomic determinants of wine prices

Linda Jiao

Abstract

This paper identifies the macroeconomic determinants of fine wine prices and estimates their impacts on a monthly database from 1996 to 2015. The fine wine demand from emerging markets plays a key role in fine wine pricing, and more precisely, on the fluctuation of Bordeaux fine wine prices. Furthermore, the continuous weakening of the U.S. Dollar in real term favors the fine wine prices to increase. Since 2011, the slowdown of economic growth in emerging markets, followed by the depreciation of national currencies has engendered negative effects on the fine wine market. Along with the process of financialization in the fine wine market, fine wine prices have become more volatile. Factors such as money supply, real interest rate and the growth of investment funds start to show their influence on fine wine pricing.

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